York Central

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Rachael Maskell

Notional 2019 election result

Labour 54.5%

Tories 28.5%

Lib Dem 8.7%

Green 4.1%

Brexit Party 2.9%

The Yorkshire Party 1.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 97% York Central (2019), 3% York Outer (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 62%	Tory 10%	Labour
Survation	Labour 64%	Tory 14%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 60%	Green 13%	None
Savanta	Labour 62%	Tory 13%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 60%	Tory 14%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 57%	Tory 14%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 60%	Reform 13%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 66%	Tory 13%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 57%	Tory 15%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.