Winchester

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Danny Chambers

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 51.8%

Lib Dem 41.1%

Labour 5.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 22% Meon Valley (2019), 78% Winchester (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 52%	Tory 31%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 52%	Tory 26%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Lib Dem 43%	Tory 32%	Lib Dem
Savanta	Lib Dem 42%	Tory 27%	Lib Dem
Focaldata	Lib Dem 42%	Tory 33%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Lib Dem 47%	Tory 28%	Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus	Lib Dem 59%	Tory 20%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Lib Dem 53%	Tory 26%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Lib Dem 43%	Tory 27%	Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.