General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 22% Garston and Halewood (2019), 69% Halton (2019), 8% St Helens South and Whiston (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 69% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 73% | Tory 9% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 64% | Reform 12% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 66% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 66% | Reform 18% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 63% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 68% | Reform 16% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 68% | Reform 13% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 64% | Reform 14% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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