West Suffolk

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Rebecca Denness

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 66.2%

Labour 20.9%

Lib Dem 9.2%

Green 4.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 2% Bury St Edmunds (2019), 4% South Suffolk (2019), 95% West Suffolk (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 33%	Labour 29%	Labour
Survation	Tory 32%	Labour 31%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 33%	Tory 31%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 36%	Tory 30%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 34%	Labour 33%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 34%	Tory 33%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 35%	Reform 27%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 34%	Labour 30%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 32%	Tory 30%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.