Weald of Kent

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Lenny Rolles

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 61.5%

Labour 20.3%

Lib Dem 12.8%

Green 4.3%

Independent 1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 45% Ashford (2019), 13% Faversham and Mid Kent (2019), 3% Folkestone and Hythe (2019), 39% Maidstone and The Weald (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 41%	Labour 25%	Labour
Survation	Labour 33%	Tory 30%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 36%	Labour 25%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 34%	Labour 30%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 42%	Labour 24%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 41%	Labour 29%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 31%	Labour 28%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 39%	Labour 21%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 37%	Labour 24%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.