Uxbridge and South Ruislip

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Danny Boy Beales

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 53%

Labour 35.9%

Lib Dem 7.4%

Green 2.4%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 13% Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner (2019), 87% Uxbridge and South Ruislip (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 44%	Tory 32%	Labour
Survation	Labour 42%	Tory 30%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 49%	Tory 30%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 48%	Tory 37%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 44%	Tory 27%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 52%	Tory 27%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 48%	Tory 26%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 47%	Tory 32%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 39%	Tory 26%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.