Tonbridge

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Lewis William John Bailey

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 62.7%

Labour 15.3%

Lib Dem 15.3%

Green 6.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 6% Dartford (2019), 6% Sevenoaks (2019), 88% Tonbridge and Malling (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This constituency was previously "too close to call". We are now making a Labour recommendation to increase alignment between tactical voting websites. We also note that polls show Labour best placed to win.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 39%	Labour 28%	Labour
Survation	Tory 34%	Labour 30%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 34%	Tory 33%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 32%	Labour 31%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 36%	Labour 24%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 34%	Labour 24%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 33%	Labour 22%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 36%	Labour 24%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 32%	Labour 26%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.