General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 8% Ochil and South Perthshire (2019), 92% Stirling (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | SNP 35% | Labour 29% | None |
| Survation | Labour 36% | Tory 22% | Labour |
| Ipsos | SNP 36% | Labour 32% | None |
| Savanta | SNP 36% | Labour 31% | None |
| Focaldata | SNP 33% | Labour 25% | None |
| WeThink | SNP 34% | Labour 30% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 40% | SNP 32% | None |
| More in Common | SNP 32% | Lib Dem 24% | None |
| JL Partners | SNP 36% | Labour 28% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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