General election 2024
Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 55% | Reform 20% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 49% | Reform 20% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 59% | Tory 19% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 55% | Tory 18% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 52% | Reform 22% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 60% | Reform 16% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 54% | Reform 25% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 51% | Reform 20% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 43% | Reform 27% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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