Solihull West and Shirley

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Deirdre Fox

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 59.1%

Labour 20.1%

Lib Dem 16.9%

Green 3.8%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 15% Meriden (2019), 85% Solihull (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 36%	Labour 26%	Labour
Survation	Labour 36%	Tory 30%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 39%	Labour 30%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 32%	Labour 31%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 38%	Labour 27%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 28%	Labour 26%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 34%	Tory 27%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 37%	Labour 32%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 30%	Labour 28%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.