General election 2024

Sheffield Heeley

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Labour

Louise Haigh

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 52.9%

  Tories 26.8%

  Brexit Party 7.4%

  Lib Dem 6.7%

  Green 5.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 19% Sheffield Central (2019), 80% Sheffield, Heeley (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 63% Tory 12% Labour
Survation Labour 68% Tory 14% Labour
Ipsos Labour 52% Tory 20% Labour
Savanta Labour 61% Tory 24% Labour
Focaldata Labour 66% Tory 17% Labour
WeThink Labour 71% Tory 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 53% Tory 22% Labour
More in Common Labour 59% Tory 17% Labour
JL Partners Labour 54% Tory 24% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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