General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 15% Lanark and Hamilton East (2019), 85% Rutherglen and Hamilton West (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This seat is a contest between two progressive parties. Vote for whichever you prefer.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 54% | SNP 30% | None |
| Survation | Labour 56% | SNP 24% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 54% | SNP 31% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 56% | SNP 29% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 53% | SNP 25% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 47% | SNP 35% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 54% | SNP 27% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 59% | SNP 18% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 54% | SNP 26% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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