General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 20% Esher and Walton (2019), 80% Runnymede and Weybridge (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
We have removed this tactical voting recommendation because it was contradicted by multiple independent polls.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 31% | Lib Dem 30% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Tory 33% | Labour 31% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Tory 34% | Labour 30% | Labour |
| Savanta | Tory 32% | Labour 29% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 33% | Lib Dem 26% | Lib Dem |
| WeThink | Tory 30% | Labour 28% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Tory 38% | Lib Dem 30% | Lib Dem |
| More in Common | Tory 34% | Labour 25% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Tory 28% | Lib Dem 25% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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