General election 2024
Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Labour 44% | Tory 16% | Labour |
Survation | Labour 49% | Tory 15% | Labour |
Ipsos | Labour 49% | Reform 17% | Labour |
Savanta | Labour 36% | Other 23% | None |
Focaldata | Labour 56% | Reform 16% | Labour |
WeThink | Labour 48% | Tory 16% | Labour |
Electoral Calculus | Other 29% | Labour 26% | None |
More in Common | Labour 58% | Reform 14% | Labour |
JL Partners | Labour 50% | Reform 18% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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