General election 2024

Reigate

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Labour

Stuart Brady

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 53.9%

  Lib Dem 20%

  Labour 19.1%

  Green 5.6%

  UK Independence Party 1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 15% Epsom and Ewell (2019), 85% Reigate (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This constituency was previously "too close to call". We are now making a Labour recommendation to increase alignment between tactical voting websites. We also note that polls show Labour best placed to win.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 36% Labour 27% Labour
Survation Labour 31% Tory 27% Labour
Ipsos Tory 34% Labour 29% Labour
Savanta Labour 32% Tory 31% Labour
Focaldata Tory 32% Labour 32% Labour
WeThink Tory 33% Labour 25% Labour
Electoral Calculus Tory 28% Labour 27% Labour
More in Common Tory 35% Labour 27% Labour
JL Partners Labour 27% Tory 26% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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