North Dorset

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Gary Jackson

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 63.5%

Lib Dem 20.6%

Labour 12%

Green 4%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 98% North Dorset (2019), 2% West Dorset (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 37%	Tory 35%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 31%	Tory 29%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Tory 42%	Labour 22%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 32%	Labour 27%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 34%	Lib Dem 34%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Tory 36%	Labour 26%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 33%	Lib Dem 27%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Tory 34%	Lib Dem 25%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Tory 29%	Lib Dem 25%	Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.