General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 92% Mitcham and Morden (2019), 8% Wimbledon (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 55% | Lib Dem 12% | None |
| Survation | Labour 61% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 60% | Tory 15% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 64% | Tory 17% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 62% | Tory 13% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 54% | Reform 13% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 58% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 58% | Tory 17% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 57% | Tory 13% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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