General election 2024

Mid Norfolk

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Michael Rosen

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 62.7%

  Labour 22%

  Lib Dem 13.5%

  Independent 1.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 95% Mid Norfolk (2019), 5% South West Norfolk (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 37% Labour 33% Labour
Survation Labour 34% Tory 30% Labour
Ipsos Tory 35% Labour 28% Labour
Savanta Labour 36% Tory 29% Labour
Focaldata Labour 34% Tory 33% Labour
WeThink Labour 34% Tory 31% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 36% Tory 30% Labour
More in Common Tory 34% Labour 34% Labour
JL Partners Labour 34% Tory 29% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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