General election 2024

Mid Bedfordshire

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Labour

Maahwish Mirza

2019 election result

  Tories 59.8%

  Labour 21.7%

  Lib Dem 12.6%

  Green 3.8%

  Independent 1.3%

Labour won this seat in a byelection in October 2023, and so they are likely to be best placed to hold it in the next election.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 36% Tory 30% Labour
Survation Labour 41% Tory 31% Labour
Ipsos Labour 35% Tory 34% Labour
Savanta Labour 38% Tory 31% Labour
Focaldata Tory 34% Labour 34% Labour
WeThink Labour 35% Tory 34% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 38% Tory 21% Labour
More in Common Labour 29% Tory 28% Labour
JL Partners Labour 29% Tory 27% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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