General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 56% Manchester Central (2019), 44% Manchester, Gorton (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 59% | Green 17% | None |
| Survation | Labour 62% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 65% | Green 21% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 76% | Tory 10% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 68% | Green 15% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 78% | Tory 7% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 66% | Green 14% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 73% | Green 9% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 73% | Green 9% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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