General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 79% Maidenhead (2019), 21% Windsor (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Lib Dem 56% | Tory 28% | Lib Dem |
Survation | Lib Dem 36% | Tory 31% | Lib Dem |
Ipsos | Tory 43% | Labour 27% | Labour |
Savanta | Tory 41% | Labour 32% | Labour |
Focaldata | Tory 39% | Lib Dem 38% | Lib Dem |
WeThink | Tory 36% | Lib Dem 35% | Lib Dem |
Electoral Calculus | Lib Dem 40% | Tory 37% | Lib Dem |
More in Common | Lib Dem 37% | Tory 33% | Lib Dem |
JL Partners | Tory 35% | Lib Dem 34% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS