Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Diana Johnson

Notional 2019 election result

Labour 44.6%

Tories 33.6%

Brexit Party 12.3%

Lib Dem 6.7%

Green 2.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 15% Haltemprice and Howden (2019), 3% Kingston upon Hull East (2019), 73% Kingston upon Hull North (2019), 9% Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 49%	Reform 18%	Labour
Survation	Labour 44%	Reform 20%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 51%	Tory 20%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 53%	Reform 20%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 49%	Reform 23%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 51%	Reform 23%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 46%	Reform 28%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 48%	Reform 16%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 45%	Reform 19%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.