Herne Bay and Sandwich

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Labour

Helen Elizabeth Whitehead

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 60.5%

Labour 29.1%

Lib Dem 6.8%

Green 3.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 6% Canterbury (2019), 80% North Thanet (2019), 14% South Thanet (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 37%	Labour 32%	Labour
Survation	Labour 40%	Tory 29%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 35%	Tory 32%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 37%	Tory 28%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 37%	Labour 30%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 36%	Tory 35%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 36%	Labour 28%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 36%	Labour 31%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 32%	Labour 29%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.