General election 2024

Faversham and Mid Kent

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Labour

Mel Dawkins

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 63.7%

  Labour 19.7%

  Lib Dem 11.6%

  Green 4%

  Independent 1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 90% Faversham and Mid Kent (2019), 10% Sittingbourne and Sheppey (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 35% Labour 28% Labour
Survation Tory 33% Labour 32% Labour
Ipsos Labour 35% Tory 34% Labour
Savanta Labour 34% Tory 31% Labour
Focaldata Labour 34% Tory 31% Labour
WeThink Labour 34% Tory 29% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 33% Tory 29% Labour
More in Common Tory 35% Labour 27% Labour
JL Partners Tory 31% Labour 27% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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