General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 78% Edmonton (2019), 22% Enfield, Southgate (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 51% | Tory 15% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 58% | Tory 18% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 62% | Tory 18% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 64% | Tory 20% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 63% | Tory 16% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 63% | Tory 16% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 56% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 55% | Tory 19% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Labour 50% | Tory 24% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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