General election 2024
The SNP won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 37% | SNP 31% | None |
| Survation | Labour 47% | Tory 25% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 36% | SNP 30% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 35% | SNP 31% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 38% | SNP 26% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 37% | SNP 29% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 42% | SNP 27% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 33% | SNP 26% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 38% | SNP 23% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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