East Hampshire

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Dominic Martin

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 60.2%

Lib Dem 23.4%

Labour 10.9%

Green 4.4%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 74% East Hampshire (2019), 24% Meon Valley (2019), 1% North East Hampshire (2019), 1% North West Hampshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 33%	Lib Dem 30%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 36%	Tory 30%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Tory 35%	Labour 23%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 31%	Labour 28%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 33%	Labour 23%	Labour
WeThink	Lib Dem 33%	Tory 31%	Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus	Tory 34%	Lib Dem 25%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Tory 34%	Lib Dem 25%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Tory 28%	Lib Dem 26%	Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.