General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 4% Doncaster Central (2019), 96% Doncaster North (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Labour 59% | Other 18% | None |
Survation | Labour 75% | Tory 15% | Labour |
Ipsos | Labour 62% | Tory 25% | Labour |
Savanta | Labour 55% | Tory 32% | Labour |
Focaldata | Labour 68% | Tory 20% | Labour |
WeThink | Labour 66% | Tory 22% | Labour |
Electoral Calculus | Labour 48% | Tory 33% | Labour |
More in Common | Labour 53% | Tory 23% | Labour |
JL Partners | Labour 48% | Tory 29% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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