Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Lee Pitcher

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 49.6%

Labour 31.8%

Brexit Party 10.7%

Lib Dem 4.4%

Green 2.1%

The Yorkshire Party 1.4%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 25% Brigg and Goole (2019), 69% Don Valley (2019), 6% Doncaster North (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 43%	Tory 26%	Labour
Survation	Labour 50%	Tory 22%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 33%	Reform 28%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 45%	Reform 24%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 40%	Reform 28%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 32%	Reform 31%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 45%	Reform 25%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 41%	Tory 28%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 37%	Reform 26%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.