General election 2024

Derby South

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Labour

Baggy Shanker

2019 election result

  Labour 51.1%

  Tories 36.9%

  Lib Dem 6.2%

  Brexit Party 5.8%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 41% Reform 22% Labour
Survation Labour 48% Reform 19% Labour
Ipsos Labour 52% Tory 19% Labour
Savanta Labour 58% Tory 18% Labour
Focaldata Labour 57% Tory 18% Labour
WeThink Labour 54% Tory 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 46% Reform 30% Labour
More in Common Labour 48% Reform 19% Labour
JL Partners Labour 46% Tory 25% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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