General election 2024

Chesterfield

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Labour

Toby Perkins

2019 election result

  Labour 40.2%

  Tories 37%

  Brexit Party 10.6%

  Lib Dem 8.8%

  Green 2.5%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 53% Tory 16% Labour
Survation Labour 56% Tory 16% Labour
Ipsos Labour 52% Tory 22% Labour
Savanta Labour 50% Reform 23% Labour
Focaldata Labour 54% Reform 21% Labour
WeThink Labour 58% Reform 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 48% Reform 30% Labour
More in Common Labour 47% Reform 21% Labour
JL Partners Labour 44% Reform 22% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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