Chesham and Amersham

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Sarah Green

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 54.4%

Lib Dem 22.7%

Labour 15.1%

Green 5%

Independent 2.5%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 8% Beaconsfield (2019), 82% Chesham and Amersham (2019), 10% Wycombe (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems won this seat in a byelection in June 2021, and so are best placed to hold it in the next election.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 48%	Tory 30%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 44%	Tory 25%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Tory 35%	Lib Dem 33%	Lib Dem
Savanta	Lib Dem 42%	Tory 34%	Lib Dem
Focaldata	Lib Dem 40%	Tory 33%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Lib Dem 52%	Tory 21%	Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus	Lib Dem 47%	Tory 34%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Tory 30%	Lib Dem 22%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Lib Dem 31%	Tory 24%	Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.