General election 2024

Calder Valley

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Labour

Josh Fenton-Glynn

2019 election result

  Tories 51.9%

  Labour 41.9%

  Lib Dem 5%

  Liberal 1.2%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 45% Tory 24% Labour
Survation Labour 54% Tory 31% Labour
Ipsos Labour 54% Tory 29% Labour
Savanta Labour 53% Tory 22% Labour
Focaldata Labour 50% Tory 26% Labour
WeThink Labour 52% Tory 23% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 56% Tory 17% Labour
More in Common Labour 52% Tory 27% Labour
JL Partners Labour 42% Tory 26% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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