Boston and Skegness

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Alex Fawbert

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 76.4%

Labour 15.3%

Lib Dem 4.9%

Independent 3.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 94% Boston and Skegness (2019), 6% Louth and Horncastle (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 35%	Reform 34%	Labour
Survation	Tory 33%	Reform 32%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 34%	Reform 31%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 34%	Reform 29%	Labour
Focaldata	Reform 36%	Tory 34%	Labour
WeThink	Tory 36%	Labour 29%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Reform 37%	Tory 26%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 35%	Reform 33%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 37%	Reform 32%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.