General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 66% Birmingham, Hodge Hill (2019), 14% Birmingham, Yardley (2019), 20% Meriden (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 48% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 56% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 61% | Tory 16% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 61% | Tory 19% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 58% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 52% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 54% | Reform 18% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 40% | Green 22% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 48% | Reform 21% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS