General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 90% Belfast South (2019), 3% Lagan Valley (2019), 7% Strangford (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
The SDLP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the DUP again this time.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS