General election 2024

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

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SNP

Allan Dorans

2019 election result

  SNP 43.5%

  Tories 38.5%

  Labour 13.3%

  Lib Dem 4.6%

The SNP won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov SNP 34% Labour 27% None
Survation Labour 44% SNP 22% None
Ipsos Labour 37% SNP 32% None
Savanta Labour 36% SNP 29% None
Focaldata Labour 35% SNP 24% None
WeThink Labour 42% SNP 25% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 34% SNP 30% None
More in Common SNP 30% Labour 29% None
JL Partners Labour 32% SNP 29% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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