Ashfield

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Rhea Keehn

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 40.2%

Ashfield Independents 26.5%

Labour 24.7%

Brexit Party 4.9%

Lib Dem 2.3%

Green 1.3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 96% Ashfield (2019), 4% Mansfield (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Ashfield Independents are in second place here, but they are not progressive. We believe Labour are best placed to unseat Lee Anderson this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Reform 33%	Labour 31%	Labour
Survation	Labour 32%	Reform 28%	Labour
Ipsos	Reform 59%	Labour 21%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 34%	Other 28%	None
Focaldata	Reform 36%	Labour 35%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 37%	Reform 25%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Reform 37%	Labour 31%	Labour
More in Common	Reform 49%	Labour 20%	Labour
JL Partners	Reform 36%	Labour 34%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.