General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 91% Airdrie and Shotts (2019), 9% Motherwell and Wishaw (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This seat is a contest between two progressive parties. Vote for whichever you prefer.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 52% | SNP 32% | None |
| Survation | Labour 56% | SNP 27% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 55% | SNP 31% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 46% | SNP 39% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 51% | SNP 28% | None |
| WeThink | Labour 44% | SNP 38% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 47% | SNP 33% | None |
| More in Common | Labour 49% | SNP 28% | None |
| JL Partners | Labour 50% | SNP 29% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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